From the selected engagement records

Evidence-first review — Cedar capacity planning (same facts retained)

Lead: mandatory validations before any commitment

Confirm the reconciled current available-hours figure (340) is the operative value and not a lingering contradictory record: planning note v3 states 340 and explicitly replaces earlier 320 and 360 figures (E1-SRC-03). The capacity CSV v3 records 340 hours (E1-SRC-02). Treat the older numbers as superseded historical values unless evidence shows otherwise (E1-SRC-03).
Validate the estimated effort per job (5 hours) because it is explicitly unvalidated in the admitted materials; the arithmetic model (340 / 5 = 68) depends on this estimate and does not constitute measured delivery capability (E1-SRC-02; E1-SRC-04; E1-CALC).
Resolve job mix and release-date uncertainty: confirmed demand (72 jobs) and 12 provisional jobs (planning total 84) are separated in the planning note, but provisional release dates and job-level effort remain unconfirmed — this affects whether provisional work should be scheduled (E1-SRC-03; E1-SRC-01).

Keep the arithmetic and counts unchanged: modelled capacity = 340 / 5 = 68 jobs; confirmed demand = 72 jobs; provisional = 12 jobs (planning total 84) (E1-CALC; E1-SRC-02; E1-SRC-03).

Three prioritized checks (in order)
Check: empirical validation of hours-per-job
What it would resolve: confirms whether 5 hours per job is a reasonable operational estimate or requires adjustment; directly changes the modelled capacity (E1-SRC-02; E1-SRC-04).
Check: authoritative confirmation that 340 hours is the current, reconciled available capacity for the target week
What it would resolve: removes the risk of acting on a superseded figure (320 or 360) and ensures supply-side planning uses the single operative input (E1-SRC-03; E1-SRC-02).
Check: verification of provisional jobs’ release dates and job-level scope/job-mix
What it would resolve: determines whether the 12 provisional jobs should be treated as schedulable in the target week or kept separate; clarifies if job mix would change average effort per job (E1-SRC-03; E1-SRC-01).

Cautious two-sentence draft conclusion

Under the admitted inputs the arithmetic model gives 68 modelled jobs (340 hours / 5 hours per job) versus 72 confirmed jobs and 84 in the planning case, implying a shortfall of 4 for confirmed demand and 16 for the full planning case. Before any operational commitment, validate the hours-per-job estimate, confirm 340 as the authoritative available-hours figure, and verify provisional release dates and job mix so the model reflects supported evidence rather than unvalidated assumptions (E1-SRC-02; E1-SRC-03; E1-SRC-04; E1-CALC).

SOURCES
E1-SRC-02 Cedar Review · fictional UI walkthrough · Capacity planning review · 02-capacity.csv
E1-SRC-03 Cedar Review · fictional UI walkthrough · Capacity planning review · 03-planning-note.txt
E1-SRC-04 Cedar Review · fictional UI walkthrough · Capacity planning review · 04-method-note.md
E1-SRC-01 Cedar Review · fictional UI walkthrough · Capacity planning review · 01-forecast.csv
E1-CALC Cedar Review · fictional UI walkthrough · Capacity planning review · Deterministic calculation from admitted files
OPEN
Cedar Review · fictional UI walkthrough · Evidence
Cedar Review · fictional UI walkthrough · Analysis
Answered 28 Oct, 04:17 pm